Monday, March 31, 2008

MLB 2K8: Prediction Time




Opening day is like putting on a fresh pair of Nike athletic socks on your feet for the first time. Unless you live in Tampa Bay, Shittsburgh, or Florida, hopes are high for a great 2008 campaign. And with the MLB baseball season almost 24 hours old (those games in Japan don't count), it's time to look into my soul and divulge how things will look come October.

AL West 1) Angels 2) Mariners 3) A's 4) Rangers

While I'd love to pick the Mariners to make their first playoffs since 2k1, I can't look past the fact that despite losing Kelvim Escobar indefinitely and John Lackey until May, the Angels are still a very good team, and the M's offense in its current form is retched.

Sports Illustrated got it right when they suggested the M's should bring back Junior and make him the regular DH (that brilliant idea also got me to re-up my subscription). Fats Vidro would be a great late inning pinch hitter. At 33, and his power declining faster than Martin Lawrence's film career, Vidro simply doesn't have what it takes to be an everyday player anymore.

Couple Vidro with the potential black hole in right field in Brad Wilkerson and Redneck Richie Sexson and the M's are stuck with a lineup that will hit for a poor average, won't get on base and won't hit for power.

The M's rotation should be much improved with Erik Bedard in tow, but after Bedard and Felix Hernandez, the M's are strapped with three number 5 starters.

Does that sound like a playoff team?

AL Central 1) Tigers 2) Indians 3) White Sox 4) Twins 5) Royals

Before folding in the second half, the Tigers looked poised to make the playoffs for the second straight year last year.

Detroit is a team loaded with aging vets, but those players, plus super stud Miggy Cabrera and Curtis Granderson give D-Town the most potent lineup in baseball. Opposing pitchers are going to have a tough time getting these guys out.

Cleveland brings back essentially the same roster as last year's ALCS losing team. Many analysts have them picked to make the World Series, but their offense isn't as good as Detroit's and their starting pitching, aside from C.C. Sabathia and Fausto Carmona, is weaker as well.

The Tribe could very well win 90 plus games and not make the playoffs. It's doesn't seem fair, but those be the rules.

AL East 1) Red Sox 2) Yankees 3) Blue Jays 4) Devil Rays 5) Orioles

The Red Sox will quickly make New Englanders forget about their underachieving football team. Curt Schilling's injury will hurt the rotation a bit, but his status as Spokesperson of the World should not falter. Having two young studs in Jon Lester and Clay Bucholz doesn't hurt either.

For the first time since the Alvaro Espinoza era, the Yankees didn't thrown ridiculous money at a big time free agent. The newfound roster stability and hard ass manager Joe Girardi will definitely help the Yanks. But like last season, when the Yanks trotted out 48 different starting pitchers, the rotation remains a big question mark.

The Yankees will make the playoffs as the AL Wild Card, but a first round playoff exit awaits.

Our sympathies go out to the Toronto Blue Jays, who never can seem to do better or worse than third place. They need to pull a Milwaukee Brewers and switch leagues.

NL West 1) Dodgers 2) D-Backs 3) Padres 4) Rockies 5) Giants

The NL West is without a doubt the best division in baseball. Four out of the five teams are playoff caliber teams. But at the end of the season, the Dodgers and D-Backs will break from the pack, earning the NL West and Wild Card respectively. Both teams are too loaded at the plate, on the mound and in the clubhouse to not achieve success.

After winning 21 of 22 before getting swept in the World Series last year, the Rockies have gotten lots of early season love. What many forget is the Rocks were a mediocre team before the streak. They had one phenomenal month that they will never replicate.

The Giants are an absolute mess. A year after giving Barry Zito the worst free agent contract ever, they decided to replicate the feat by signing Aaron Rowand to $60 million over five years. And Mariners fans think Richie Sexson's contract sucks.

NL Central 1) Brewers 2) Cubs 3) Reds 4) Astros
5) Cardinals 6
) Pirates

The Brewers just missed out on the playoffs last year, and after falling short, this team is too good and too determined to miss out again. Adding Mike Cameron and his amphetamine problem in center field gives the Brew Crew some much needed veteran experience.

Tortured Cubbies fans will have to wait another year to not win a World Series. Japanese import Kosuke Fukudome (or as my girlfriend says "Fuck-You-Dome") finally gives the Cubs a reliable right fielder, but a starting rotation that's iffy after Carlos Zambrano will ultimately do the Cubs in.

NL East 1) Mets 2) Braves 3) Phillies 4) Nationals 5) Marlins

It took a historic September collapse for the Mets to realize they couldn't win with their starting rotation. There's nothing like adding baseball's best pitcher of the century to help shore up those problems.

All of a sudden, the Mets have a rotation that potentially will boast four 15+ game winners. Their lineup, anchored by studs David Wright and Carlos Beltran, will pound out enough runs for the Mets to win 95 games and the NL East title.

The Phillies snuck into the playoffs last year, but losing Aaron Rowand to free agency will ultimately prevent them from making it back. Yes, Jimmy Rollins, Chase Utley and Ryan Howard are Philly's offensive catalysts, but Rowand (.309, 27, 89) was the difference maker last year.

PLAYOFFS

ALDS
Red Sox over Tigers
Yankees over Angels

NLDS
Brewers over D-Backs
Mets over Dodgers

ALCS
Red Sox over Yankees
NLCS
Mets over Brewers

WORLD SERIES
Red Sox over Mets

Monday, March 24, 2008

Bracketology for Idiots


Every year, millions of Americans spend countless hours agonizing over their NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament brackets. Sure, you can analyze statistics like TMZ trying to determine if that's really Kristin Davis blowing her former boyfriend in those pictures - but at day's end, it's pure luck.

Over at SuckCenter, whiny Jay Bilas, Jamie Moyer's father-in-law and Hubert Davis try to
act like they know what they're talking about. Good thing ESPN only has TV rights to the pathetic NIT and Women's tourney, otherwise viewers would never get up to the minute NFL Draft reports.

With 48 teams eliminated from play, my bracket boasts 11 teams still alive. That's pretty damn good considering I rarely watch any college basketball that doesn't involve the Washington Huskies. And if you follow these easy steps, I can almost nearly guarantee success.

Personal Biases - Complete with their vaginal blood red uniforms, the Washington State Cougars will always be my most hated college team (all sports apply). But I know the Cougs have a solid team that's as well coached as any. I'd be an idiot to not have them in the Sweet 16 where they'll be annihilated by North Carolina.

Limited Info - Tim Floyd is not a good coach. O.J. Mayo is greatly overrated. Couple that with the fact that Michael Beasley is absolutely disgusting. That's all I needed to know to pick Kansas State over USC.

Logic - For the first time ever, my alma matter, The American University made it to the tourney. Now unless I have Elliot Spektor's logic, I'm picking Tennessee 100 times out of 100. Picking and choosing your upsets is a must. But how many times has a team like George Mason played in April?

That's all it takes. Now excuse me while I root on the Duke Blue Devils, my pick to win the Big Dance.

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

One Shot


At a minimum, it takes 0.4 seconds to get a basketball shot off. Coincidentally, that’s about the time left for the Seattle Supersonics to have any chance at remaining in the best city they could ever possibly call home.

Even with a short term expiration date, the latest effort to keep the Sonics in Seattle is truly the final shot for this once proud franchise. Much credit is due to Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer, Costco CEO Jim Sinegal and other local big wigs for trying to take the final shot. Unlike former Sonics owner Howard “Sellout” Schultz, this potential ownership group understands what “civic duty” means.

When Schultz originally purchased the Sonics in 2001, he could be seen jumping around courtside like the cheerleader who’s getting nailed by the All-American point guard. But once Schultz determined he couldn’t make any money with the current Key Arena lease (something he knew about before buying the team), he decided to bitch and moan for a new arena. After Washington State legislators ignored Schultz’s cry baby routine, he turned around and sold the team to some white trash, oil rednecks from Oklahoma City.

Seattle helped Schultz build his nonfat double mocha latté empire and he repaid the city by pissing in its face. He tried to run the Sonics on the cheap. Schultz is directly responsible for letting the Sonics go from the number one attraction in Seattle, to being somewhere in between climbing that giant rock at the REI store and riding the 47-year-old roller coasters at the Seattle Center.

The Sonics current owner, the mumbling Clayton Bennett, claims the team isn’t for sale. Bennett continues to ignore the fact that he overpaid for the Supes by about $100 million. Moving them to Oklahoma City decreases their value by about another $100 million. Now that’s just poor business.

For some unknown reason, NBA commissioner David Stern feels compelled to publicly declare his support for the Sonics to rid Seattle. Meanwhile, Stern sees no problem in having teams in Memphis, New Orleans and Charlotte – cities that simply should have never been awarded NBA franchises.

The buzzer is about to sound on the Sonics. The final play has been drawn up. Who knows if it’s the right play, but the newfound support to keep the Sonics in Seattle and in the Key comes from people who genuinely want to give back to the city. That’s much more than this franchise has seen from its current and former owners.